Home > Hand Analysis > Flopped Set / Turned Full House

Flopped Set / Turned Full House

10 November 2008 10 Comments

The Hand

Game:$1/2 NL Live 9 handed (Effective Stacks $280)

Villain is UTG+2 and is strong-tight. (Plays a tight range of hands. He bets his hands and checks his draws.)

Hero is MP+2 and  has:

It is folded around to Villain and  he raises to $15 (standard for this table).

Next player folds, Hero calls and it is folded around. Players are heads up.

Flop (Pot: $30):

Villain checks, Hero checks

Turn (Pot: $30):

Villain leads out for $10, Hero pauses and calls.

River (Pot: $50):

Villain leads out for $40

(Pot: $90)

Hero ??????

Exit Questions

  1. What does Villain have? (Leave a comment)
  2. And what should Hero do here?

What is Hero's River Move??

View Results

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Final Results: [Results] Flopped Set / Turned Full House

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10 Comments »

  • jeffparsons said:

    I put the villan on A-6. He thought his A was strong enough for a standard raise, and when both players hit the flop each tried to slow play.

  • PokerPlasm said:

    Funny, I was thinking the same as Jeff. I think he has A6, possibly AA. In either case, Hero is in trouble. I fold.

    Not sure I like the check after the flop with 2 hearts showing. I think Hero needs to throw a bet out to see where Villain sits.

  • jeffparsons said:

    Totally agree no checking that flop. That’s what gets the hero into trouble in the first place. A full house is hard to fold though. If it got to the river I’d probably still hang in there.

  • Parker said:

    If I were Hero, I would have to ask myself, would Villain really raise in MP+2 with A6 if he’s a tight player? I would be more concerned with AA in Villain’s hands than A6, especially if I’ve seen him only play quality hands all game. However, it says above that Villain bets hands when he has them, and checks his draws. So if he had caught the flop, wouldn’t he have bet with AA? So I think that Villain is holding 2’s, and put out a $10 feeler bet on the turn, and then bet hard on the flop when he caught his full house. I’d re-raise him after the river, no question. If he has a better full house, well more power to him.

  • Twitchy67 said:

    Definitely a call, but u messed up on the flop and the turn. You had position so you should have put a little pot builder out at the very least on the flop. Also, since it’s 1-2, slow playing a set with both a flush and a str draw is dangerous anyways, at least where i play 1-2. Anyways, since he raised pre and is generally tight u can assume a big ace or a pocket pair; I don’t see a tight solid player raising pre-flop from early with a6. if you throw out a bet he may pop a raise at you, or may even push if he has ak or something. Both of those are good for you. If he’s got two pair, then you’re getting the money in with the best hand anyways, and if he’s got a bigger set, you were still going to lose. By checking the flop you wrecked your pot odds at the river (well, didn’t wreck them, but removed some value for u to call). Since u missed the flop bet, at the turn you should have 3 raised him if just to see where u are if nothing else. My guess is he woulda smooth called or folded unless he had aa, and if he does so you get a check to u on the river and take control. Control the betting…

    Anyways, my guess is he had aj or aq and the ten$ on the turn was a feeler…u didn’t raise so he figured no str, no set, and put out a big bet on the river so you’d fold ak. Of course,

  • Twitchy67 said:

    hrmm…ran outta space…was gonna say of course i’m likely wrong, but the above is how my logic would go.

  • Street3 said:

    I would put the Villian at least AJ or high pocket pair QQ or KK. With a Check at the Ace, he thinks Hero doesn’t hold an Ace. That’s my guess.

  • mgkchild said:

    I have to agree with the first two, he has an A/6 or with A/K.

  • michaelhugs said:

    (can’t have Street3 have the last word!) I put the Villain on AK. He’s putting in $40 to get paid off, because he feels his 2 pair is solid. Villain probably puts the Hero on a Kx flush draw or a middle pair that didn’t hit.

  • Twitchy67 said:

    Sorry, but I just can’t put a solid tight player on A6 if he’s raising preflop from early. Unless he’s just being deceptive and changing up his play, a solid tight player would not raise with A6 from utg+2. Maybe if he’s strong aggressive, but not if he’s truly tight. I’m sticking with aj-ak or jj/qq/kk.

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